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Asia And Pacific Regional Economic Outlook: Steady Growth Amid Diverging Prospects – Presentation

Eurasia Review Thursday, 18 April 2024 ()
*Opening remarks at the Press Conference on the Regional Economic Outlook for Asia and Pacific*

Good morning to everyone here in Washington DC, and good evening to everyone in Asia.

Thank you for joining our Press Briefing for Asia and the Pacific. Please allow me to make a few opening remarks.

Let me start with...
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IMF Warns of Broad Global Impact, Due to Conflict in the Middle East. According to 'The Guardian,' the International Monetary Fund recently highlighted the risks of escalating conflict in the Middle East with two new reports. . The reports, titled World Economic Outlook (WEO) and the Global Financial Stability Review (GFSR), comes amid heightened fears of a war between Iran and Israel. The IMF reports that the escalating conflict comes at a time when financial markets have remained optimistic of a soft landing for the global economy. The IMF reports that the escalating conflict comes at a time when financial markets have remained optimistic of a soft landing for the global economy. That soft landing, which would include lowering inflation, receding interest rates and would avoid a potential recession, could be threatened by the outbreak of war. That soft landing, which would include lowering inflation, receding interest rates and would avoid a potential recession, could be threatened by the outbreak of war. 'The Guardian' reports that previous Middle East conflicts have resulted in significantly higher oil prices. . Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s economic counsellor, said the organization was evaluating the potential for another commodity shock from the conflict. The increased inflation that would come from higher energy prices would trigger a response from central banks that would tighten interest rates in order to secure inflation coming back to target, and that would weigh down on activity, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF economic counsellor, via 'The Guardian'. The increased inflation that would come from higher energy prices would trigger a response from central banks that would tighten interest rates in order to secure inflation coming back to target, and that would weigh down on activity, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF economic counsellor, via 'The Guardian'. It would do so in a context in which, in some countries, activity and growth is already fairly weak, so that might also have a strong effect there, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF economic counsellor, via 'The Guardian'. According to Gourinchas, the impact of a 15% increase in the price of oil, combined with higher shipping costs, could result in a 0.7% increase in global inflation. According to Gourinchas, the impact of a 15% increase in the price of oil, combined with higher shipping costs, could result in a 0.7% increase in global inflation. Gourinchas also warned that such an increase would also bring down business confidence and global investment.

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South Korea’s Opposition Dominates Parliamentary Elections

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Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Central banking system of the US

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Key Federal Reserve Inflation Gauge , Rose 2.8% in March. According to Commerce Department data released on April 26. the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, not including food or energy, rose 2.8% year-over-year in March. . That exceeded Dow Jones estimates of 2.7%, CNBC reports. . When also accounting for food and energy, the all-items PCE measure rose 2.7%, which was above the 2.6% estimate. Inflation reports released this morning were not as a hot as feared, , George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Wealth, via CNBC. ... but investors should not get overly anchored to the idea that inflation has been completely cured and the Fed will be cutting interest rates in the near-term, George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Wealth, via CNBC. The prospects of rate cuts remain, but they are not assured, and the Fed will likely need weakness in the labor market before they have the confidence to cut, George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Wealth, via CNBC. Consumers continue to spend despite higher prices, CNBC reports. Personal spending increased 0.8% in March, while personal income rose 0.5%. The personal saving rate dropped to 3.2% as more people are having to dip into their savings to cover the cost of living. The Fed continues to target 2% inflation, which the core PCE has exceeded for the last three years, CNBC reports.

Credit: Wibbitz Top Stories    Duration: 01:30Published
Fears of Potential Iranian Attack Drive US Stocks Down Nearly 500 Points [Video]

Fears of Potential Iranian Attack Drive US Stocks Down Nearly 500 Points

Fears of Potential Iranian Attack , Drive US Stocks Down , Nearly 500 Points. CNN reports that United States stocks dropped on April 12 amid rising tensions in the Middle East pushing traders to seek safe havens like gold and bonds. CNN reports that United States stocks dropped on April 12 amid rising tensions in the Middle East pushing traders to seek safe havens like gold and bonds. By mid-afternoon, the Dow had fallen 1.4%, the S&P 500 went down 1.6%, and the Nasdaq dropped 1.8%. The dip came after the White House announced that both the U.S. and Israel are on alert for a potential attack by Iran or its allies. The dip came after the White House announced that both the U.S. and Israel are on alert for a potential attack by Iran or its allies. The warning comes after Iran accused Israel of a deadly airstrike on a consulate in Damascus, Syria. . The news also sent oil prices up amid fears of regional tensions escalating as a result of the ongoing war in Gaza. . The news also sent oil prices up amid fears of regional tensions escalating as a result of the ongoing war in Gaza. . Brent crude futures jumped up to $90.42 a barrel, and West Texas Intermediate crude futures increased to $86.65 a barrel. Those geopolitical concerns and subsequent rising oil prices sent investors to safe havens like gold futures, which rose to $2,379 a troy ounce. Those geopolitical concerns and subsequent rising oil prices sent investors to safe havens like gold futures, which rose to $2,379 a troy ounce. CNN reports that Americans' opinions of the economy have dipped in the past few months amid persistently high inflation. The geopolitical fears come as investors are already contending with concerns that the Federal Reserve could wait to bring interest rates down from a 23-year high. Officials at the Fed have signaled that further rate hikes could still be on the way if the central bank's efforts to fight inflation stall.

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Federal Reserve Posts Massive $114 Billion Loss in 2023 [Video]

Federal Reserve Posts Massive $114 Billion Loss in 2023

Federal Reserve Posts Massive, $114 Billion , Loss in 2023. On March 26, the Federal Reserve announced a record-breaking net negative income of $114.3 billion in 2023. Reuters reports that the loss follows $58.8 billion in net income in 2022. . Since releasing the numbers, the Fed has stressed that negative net income does not impede its ability to operate. Since releasing the numbers, the Fed has stressed that negative net income does not impede its ability to operate. As a result of low rates and large levels of bond holdings, the Fed has earned significant profits in recent years. Last year, the Fed's audited interest expenses for banks' reserve balances reached $176.8 billion, an increase of over $116 billion from 2022. In 2023, the Fed's interest payouts from its reverse repo facility were $104.33 billion, increased from $41.9 billion the year before. Reuters reports that the Fed creates funds when dealing with operating losses, capturing its loss in an accounting device known as a deferred asset. Reuters reports that the Fed creates funds when dealing with operating losses, capturing its loss in an accounting device known as a deferred asset. At the close of 2023, the deferred asset stood at $133.3 billion. As of March 20 of this year, that number had risen to $157.8 billion with no indication of how much larger it could get. Last year, a St. Louis Fed report forecast that it could take years before the Fed can return to profitability and reduce the country's deferred asset. Last year, a St. Louis Fed report forecast that it could take years before the Fed can return to profitability and reduce the country's deferred asset

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