Pakistan is staring at a water disaster as India holds the Indus Waters Treaty of 1960 in abeyance.
The flow of water from rivers like Chenab and Jhelum has plummeted, with Punjab province the worst affected.
Water availability in the Indus system is down by over 10%, raising alarm for the approaching kharif season.
Pakistan's key damsāTarbela and Manglaāare also below optimal levels.
The crisis follows Indiaās suspension of the treaty after the Pahalgam terror attack, and Pakistan has warned that blocking water flow could be considered an "act of war."
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In a significant diplomatic development, India's External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on July 15th, on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit. This high-stakes meeting marked Jaishankar's first visit to China since the deadly 2020 Galwan Valley border clash, signalling a cautious step toward the normalization of ties between the two Asian giants. During his visit, Jaishankar also held talks with Chinese Vice President Han Zheng and Foreign Minister Wang Yi, advocating for a "far-seeing" and strategic approach to the bilateral relationship.
The core of the discussions revolved around the protracted border standoff in Eastern Ladakh. Jaishankar firmly reiterated India's position, stressing that complete troop disengagement in the remaining friction points of Depsang and Demchok is a prerequisite for restoring normalcy and rebuilding trust. He emphasized that peace and tranquility along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) are fundamental to the overall development of India-China relations.
A key highlight of the meeting was Jaishankar's subtle but sharp criticism of China's recent export curbs on rare earth minerals, a move that directly threatens India's critical manufacturing and high-tech sectors. With China controlling over 90% of the global rare earth output, Beijing wields significant economic leverage, a point not lost on the Indian delegation.
Despite the diplomatic optics of cooperation within the SCO framework, deep-seated strategic mistrust remains a major obstacle. The talks were overshadowed by recent revelations from Lt Gen Rahul Singh that China had provided live intelligence, weapons, and drones to Pakistan during a previous conflict. This underscores the challenge India faces, dealing with China's "sweet diplomacy" on one hand and its "cunning moves" on the other, proving that a real thaw in relations will require more than just high-level meetings.
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In a bold statement amid rising tensions, India has decided to put the Indus Water Treaty in abeyance. Quoting Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) reiterated, āBlood and water canāt flow together.ā This symbolic yet significant suspension marks a sharp turn in India's diplomatic stance, highlighting deepening hostilities. The decades-old treaty, brokered in 1960, governs water sharing with Pakistan. The announcement is expected to escalate regional tensions and draw global attention. MEA emphasized the move reflects Indiaās evolving security priorities and strategic assertiveness.
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External Affairs Minister SāÆJaishankar arrives in Beijing for critical talks with Chinese counterpart Wang Yiāthe first visit since the 2020 Ladakh military clash that brought ties to their lowest in six decades. The agenda: defusing tensions, troop withdrawal along the Line of Actual Control, and rebuilding trade and cultural links.
Afterwards, Jaishankar heads to Tianjin for the SCO foreign ministers meeting (July 14ā15), where a joint communique is uncertain after India blocked defence ministersā support over Pakistan's Pahalgam reference. Ahead of Beijing, he also met Singaporeās leaders to boost investment, semiconductors, infrastructure, and IndoāPacific cooperation. This mission aims to reset IndoāChina relations, counter global uncertainty, and reaffirm Indiaās strategic weight in multilateral diplomacy.
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