Risks to Global Economy Have Risen, IMF Slashes Forecast For Growth in Latest Assessment
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Risks to Global Economy Have Risen, IMF Slashes Forecast For Growth in Latest Assessment
Risks to Global Economy Have Risen, , IMF Slashes Forecast for Growth, in Latest Assessment.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its global economic forecast for the rest of 2022 and 2023 on April 19.
The IMF now predicts a 3.6 percent GDP rate and a 3.2 percent growth rate.
.
Both predictions represent a drop of almost an entire point from earlier 2022 forecasts.
Global economic prospects have been severely set back, largely because of Russia’s invasion
of Ukraine, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF, via CNBC.
The effects of the war will propagate far and wide, adding to price pressures and exacerbating significant policy challenges, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF, via CNBC.
IMF also predicts that international sanctions imposed on Russia are likely to have “a severe impact on the Russian economy.”.
The fund's predictions for Ukraine, however, are extraordinarily dire.
For 2022, the Ukrainian economy is expected to contract by
35 percent, IMF Assessment, via CNBC.
Even if the war were to end soon, the loss of life, destruction of physical capital, and flight of citizens will severely impede economic activity for many years to come, IMF Assessment, via CNBC.
IMF predicts the Russian invasion will continue to reverberate throughout the global economy.
Russia is a major supplier of oil, gas, and metals, and, together with Ukraine, of wheat and corn.
, IMF Assessment, via CNBC.
Reduced supplies of these commodities have driven their prices up sharply, IMF Assessment, via CNBC.
Inflation plays a key role in the IMF's assessment.
The risk is rising that inflation expectations drift away from central bank inflation targets, , IMF Assessment, via CNBC.
... prompting a more
aggressive tightening response
from policymakers, IMF Assessment, via CNBC
Key Federal Reserve Inflation Gauge , Rose 2.8% in March.
According to Commerce Department
data released on April 26.
the personal consumption expenditures
(PCE) price index, not including food or energy, rose 2.8% year-over-year in March. .
That exceeded Dow Jones
estimates of 2.7%, CNBC reports. .
When also accounting for food and energy, the all-items PCE measure rose 2.7%,
which was above the 2.6% estimate.
Inflation reports released this morning
were not as a hot as feared, , George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Wealth, via CNBC.
... but investors should not get
overly anchored to the idea that
inflation has been completely
cured and the Fed will be cutting
interest rates in the near-term, George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Wealth, via CNBC.
The prospects of rate cuts remain,
but they are not assured, and the
Fed will likely need weakness in
the labor market before they
have the confidence to cut, George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Wealth, via CNBC.
Consumers continue to spend despite
higher prices, CNBC reports.
Personal spending increased 0.8% in March, while personal income rose 0.5%.
The personal saving rate dropped to 3.2% as more people are having to dip into their savings to cover the cost of living.
The Fed continues to target 2% inflation, which the core PCE has exceeded for
the last three years, CNBC reports.
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Netflix Exceeds Earnings Estimates , As Subscribers Increase.
Netflix Exceeds Earnings Estimates , As Subscribers Increase.
Netflix released a Q1 earnings report on April 18, indicating that its number of subscribers jumped 16% year-over-year to reach 269.6 million.
Analysts only expected the streamer to have about 264.2 million subscribers, CNBC reports. .
The company also brought in $9.37 billion in revenue versus analysts' expectations of $9.28 billion. .
However, Netflix said that its membership numbers are no longer the main factor contributing to the company's growth.
As a result, the company will stop providing "quarterly membership numbers or average revenue per user" beginning in 2025, CNBC reports. .
Instead, it will divulge "major subscriber milestones as we cross them.".
Price hikes, terminating password sharing
and offering an ad-supported tier are all tactics that have boosted revenue.
Netflix is also seeking to gain traction within the video game space and recently partnered with TKO Group Holdings to offer WWE on the platform.
We’re in the very early days of
developing our live programming and
I would look at this as an expansion of
the types of content we offer, the way
we expanded to film and unscripted and
animation and most recently games, Ted Sarandos, co-CEO of Netflix, via earnings call.
We believe that these kind of event cultural
moments like the Jake Paul and Mike Tyson
fight are just that kind of television, and we
want to be part of winning over those
moments with our members as well, so that
for me is the excitement part of this, Ted Sarandos, co-CEO of Netflix, via earnings call.
As of the morning of April 18,
Netflix's stock was up 27%
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Google Fires Employees , for Protesting Israel Contract.
28 Google workers have been fired for protesting
a $1.2 billion contract that the company has with
the Israeli government and military to provide
cloud and AI services, NBC News reports. .
The firings follow an April 16 sit-in at
Google's offices in California, New York and Seattle in which nine workers were arrested.
The group that coordinated the demonstration
is known as No Tech for Apartheid. .
Google issued a statement about the recent firings.
A small number of employee
protesters entered and disrupted
a few of our locations. , Google spokesperson, via statement.
Physically impeding other employees’
work and preventing them from
accessing our facilities is a clear
violation of our policies, and
completely unacceptable behavior. , Google spokesperson, via statement.
We have so far concluded
individual investigations that
resulted in the termination of
employment for 28 employees,
and will continue to investigate
and take action as needed, Google spokesperson, via statement.
No Tech for Apartheid claims that the
workers were fired "indiscriminately.".
This excuse to avoid confronting
us and our concerns directly,
and attempt to justify its illegal,
retaliatory firings, is a lie, No Tech for Apartheid, via statement.
Meanwhile, many of Google's workers have
reportedly quit after experiencing "mental health consequences of working at a company that is using their labor to enable a genocide," No Tech for Apartheid said.
On a personal level, I am opposed
to Google taking any military
contracts — no matter which
government they’re with or what
exactly the contract is about. , Cheyne Anderson, a Google Cloud software engineer based
in Washington who was arrested during a sit-in, to CNBC
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Amazon Cuts Hundreds , of Cloud Computing Jobs.
An Amazon Web Services (AWS)
spokesperson issued a statement about
the job cuts on April 3, CNBC reports. .
We’ve identified a few targeted areas of
the organization we need to streamline
in order to continue focusing our efforts
on the key strategic areas that we
believe will deliver maximum impact, AWS spokesperson, via statement.
We didn’t make these decisions
lightly, and we’re committed
to supporting the employees
throughout their transition to new
roles in and outside of Amazon, AWS spokesperson, via statement.
Cuts are being made to the store technology division “as a result of a broader strategic shift in the use of some applications in Amazon’s owned as well as in third-party stores,” the spokesperson said.
The layoffs come after Amazon announced that it was ending its Just Walk Out technology in Fresh stores.
The cashierless technology is overseen
by teams within the AWS unit. .
Beginning in 2022, Amazon started
its largest layoffs in history by letting
go of 27,000 roles company-wide. .
So far in 2024, the retail behemoth has cut jobs at Audible, Buy with Prime, Prime Video, MGM Studios and Twitch, CNBC reports. .
This latest round of cuts will
allow U.S. employees to collect pay
and benefits for a minimum of 60 days.
They will also be offered a severance package.
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UPS to Become US Postal Service’s , Main Air Cargo Provider.
On April 1, United Parcel Service announced
that it will replace FedEx as the primary air
cargo provider for the USPS, CNBC reports. .
On April 1, United Parcel Service announced
that it will replace FedEx as the primary air
cargo provider for the USPS, CNBC reports. .
FedEx is walking away from a
22-year partnership after failing to
secure a better contract with the agency. .
FedEx is walking away from a
22-year partnership after failing to
secure a better contract with the agency. .
In fiscal year 2023, USPS paid FedEx $1.73 billion
for its services, down from the $2.4 billion
FedEx received in fiscal year 2020.
The decrease in payments was partially due
to the postal service using more economical
trucks in place of planes, CNBC reports. .
The parties were unable to reach
agreement on mutually beneficial
terms to extend the contract, FedEx, via securities filing.
Since FedEx will lose nearly $2 billion in annual
business from letting go of the contract, .
hundreds of pilots will likely
lose their jobs, CNBC reports .
Following the announcement, UPS shares
increased 1.4% while FedEx stock dropped 1.6%.
FedEx's current contract is
set to expire on Sept. 29
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IMF Warns of Broad Global Impact, Due to Conflict in the Middle East.
According to 'The Guardian,' the International Monetary
Fund recently highlighted the risks of escalating
conflict in the Middle East with two new reports. .
The reports, titled World Economic Outlook (WEO) and the Global Financial Stability Review (GFSR), comes amid heightened fears of a war between Iran and Israel.
The IMF reports that the escalating conflict comes at a time when financial markets have remained optimistic of a soft landing for the global economy.
The IMF reports that the escalating conflict comes at a time when financial markets have remained optimistic of a soft landing for the global economy.
That soft landing, which would include lowering inflation, receding interest rates and would avoid a potential recession, could be threatened by the outbreak of war.
That soft landing, which would include lowering inflation, receding interest rates and would avoid a potential recession, could be threatened by the outbreak of war.
'The Guardian' reports that previous Middle East conflicts have resulted in significantly higher oil prices. .
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s economic
counsellor, said the organization was evaluating the
potential for another commodity shock from the conflict.
The increased inflation that would
come from higher energy prices would
trigger a response from central banks that
would tighten interest rates in order to
secure inflation coming back to target,
and that would weigh down on activity, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF economic counsellor, via 'The Guardian'.
The increased inflation that would
come from higher energy prices would
trigger a response from central banks that
would tighten interest rates in order to
secure inflation coming back to target,
and that would weigh down on activity, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF economic counsellor, via 'The Guardian'.
It would do so in a context in which,
in some countries, activity and growth
is already fairly weak, so that might
also have a strong effect there, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF economic counsellor, via 'The Guardian'.
According to Gourinchas, the impact of a 15% increase
in the price of oil, combined with higher shipping costs,
could result in a 0.7% increase in global inflation.
According to Gourinchas, the impact of a 15% increase
in the price of oil, combined with higher shipping costs,
could result in a 0.7% increase in global inflation.
Gourinchas also warned that such
an increase would also bring down
business confidence and global investment.
Credit: Wibbitz Top Stories Duration: 01:31Published
As Chinese leader Xi Jinping touched down in France on Sunday (May 5) for a state visit, all eyes turned to Paris where President Emmanuel Macron aims to navigate delicate diplomatic waters. Macron is anticipated to leverage the visit to press Xi for a firmer stance against Russia amidst the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. However, even before Xi's arrival, the streets reverberated with the voices of Tibetan protesters, highlighting the contentious issue of China's occupation of Tibet. Since the annexation by the People's Republic of China in 1951 following the Battle of Chamdo, Tibet's sovereignty has been a persistent source of tension, underscored by China's assertion of control over the region from January 1, 1950. Against this backdrop, Macron's diplomatic balancing act takes center stage, emblematic of the intricate dance between global powers and human rights advocacy.
#FranceProtests #AntiChina #XiJinping #MacronMeeting #TibetanProtest #XiVisit #FranceChinaRelations #PoliticalProtest #HumanRights #FreeTibet #Democracy #ProtestAction #GlobalActivism #Solidarity #FreedomOfExpression
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Chasiv Yar, just ten kilometres west of Bakhmut, is widely seen as Russia’s next target on the Ukrainian frontlines. Analysts say Moscow is trying to push home its advantage before fresh US aid can make a difference. DW’s Nick Connolly sends us this report from the outskirts of Chasiv Yar.
#ChasivYar #UkraineFrontlines #RussianVictory #WarDangers #RussiaUkraine #GeopoliticalConflict #MilitaryStrategy #InternationalRelations #SecurityThreats #ConflictAnalysis
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The defence industry forum was held in Brussels to discuss cooperation and increase ammunition production for Kyiv in response to Russia's ongoing aggression.
Credit: euronews (in English) Duration: 01:30Published
Deutsche Bank , Warns a Major Recession Is Coming.
'Newsweek' reports that Deutsche Bank
has warned of an impending
"major recession" in the U.S. .
The bank reportedly pointed to
the difficulties..
Credit: Wibbitz Top Stories Duration: 01:31Published